{"id":78,"date":"2004-11-17T08:06:59","date_gmt":"2004-11-17T08:06:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/fp-wp\/?p=78"},"modified":"2004-11-17T08:06:59","modified_gmt":"2004-11-17T08:06:59","slug":"the-dollar-the-euro-and-the-deficit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/?p=78","title":{"rendered":"The dollar, the euro, and the deficit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Brad deLong, who has forgotten more about economics than I ever knew, has a post about <a href=\"http:\/\/www.j-bradford-delong.net\/movable_type\/2004-2_archives\/000546.html\">the effects of the deficit<\/a> on the general decline in strength of the dollar. If I&#8217;m reading him correctly (numbers give me a headache), he&#8217;s predicting a slow decline of the dollar&#8217;s buying power as we rely on other countries to hold our national debt. People in the administration are claiming that the deficit is actually a sign of economic strength, but I don&#8217;t buy that, and I don&#8217;t think deLong does either.<br \/>\nOf course, just this morning I see that the dollar has <a href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/1\/hi\/business\/4019023.stm\">fallen to a record low<\/a> against the Euro. According to that BBC account, Treasury Secretary John Snow is again citing the deficit as a sign of economic strength, while pledging to cut it back (if it&#8217;s a sign of strength, why bother?). He also says other nations have a &#8220;shared responsibility&#8221; to help resolve our deficit problems, though I&#8217;m not sure why he thinks that. I suppose they could solve the problem by not buying any more of our bonds, thereby halting growth of the deficit entirely. But it&#8217;s hard to imagine that Snow would want that. The reporter seems to think that Snow is lying, and the administration is actually happy with a slightly weaker dollar. I have no idea if that&#8217;s true, but lying is certainly a hallmark of this administration.<br \/>\n<b>UPDATE:<\/b> And over at the WashPost, Samuelson chimes in with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/articles\/A55692-2004Nov16.html\">some worries of his own<\/a> over where the dollar is headed.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>George Bush hasn&#8217;t much discussed what could be his biggest economic problem. It&#8217;s not budget deficits or jobs. It&#8217;s the possible crash of the dollar on foreign exchange markets. Even if Bush understood it, he would be hard-pressed to explain it to the public. Worse, there are no obvious ways to prevent it. Nor is it certain how big the threat is. Little wonder Bush hasn&#8217;t said much. If John Kerry had won, the situation would have been the same. But a dollar crash, if it occurred, could trigger a terrifying global slump.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brad deLong, who has forgotten more about economics than I ever knew, has a post about the effects of the deficit on the general decline in strength of the dollar. If I&#8217;m reading him correctly (numbers give me a headache), he&#8217;s predicting a slow decline of the dollar&#8217;s buying power as we rely on other countries to hold our national debt. People in the administration are claiming that the deficit is actually a sign of economic strength, but I don&#8217;t buy that, and I don&#8217;t think deLong does either. Of course, just this morning I see that the dollar has <span class=\"excerpt-dots\">&hellip;<\/span> <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/?p=78\"><span class=\"more-msg\">Continue reading &rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-econ"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p13tCM-1g","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=78"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=78"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=78"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fierce.jnfr.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=78"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}